Wednesday, September 24, 2025

A Costly Stalemate in the North: Analysis of Recent Tank Brigade Operations

 Zelenogorsk Pravda

September 24, 2025

Page A3: Defense & Analysis

By Svetlana Golikova, Defense Analyst

ZELENOGORSK – A recently disclosed summary of military operations in the North Zagoria region paints a picture of a grinding, high-intensity conflict where tactical successes are being achieved at a significant and sustained cost. The after-action report, covering the activities of the 10th Separate Tank Brigade from September 4 to 14, details a series of fierce engagements that halted separatist advances but revealed concerning patterns in the conduct of the war.

The document, a sanitized version of which has been obtained by this publication, acknowledges the "high resilience" of frontline units. However, a careful reading points to a conflict that is rapidly consuming both material and junior leadership at an alarming rate.

Throughout the reported period, Brigade task forces were consistently engaged by a well-equipped adversary, identified as a mix of Russian militias, international mercenaries, and what the report terms "international regulars" from Spain, North Korea, and Serbia. This composition underscores the complex, hybrid nature of the threat facing Chernarus.

The chronology of battles—from Panteleimonovka to Mikhailovka—follows a disturbing rhythm. In four of the five detailed operations, the initial commanding officer was killed in action, with command repeatedly devolving to junior sergeants or squad leaders. While the adaptability of these junior ranks is noted as a positive, the frequency of such command disruptions suggests that enemy forces are capable of effectively targeting leadership elements from the outset of an engagement.

Furthermore, the report highlights a persistent vulnerability to pre-planned enemy fire. The operation in Chervonopopovka on September 12th saw two main battle tanks destroyed by accurate mortar fire during the approach march. Similarly, the engagement in Khromovo began with the immediate loss of friendly vehicles. These repeated instances indicate a potential deficiency in counter-battery radar coverage or reconnaissance, leaving advancing columns exposed.

On a tactical level, the Brigade’s missions were successful. Enemy attacks were repelled, and key villages were denied to the separatists. The recovery of intelligence, including hit lists and informant networks, is noted as a significant achievement, potentially disrupting terrorist campaigns against local authorities.

Yet, the strategic picture remains opaque. The report concludes that these brutal, company-level battles likely "disrupted" a larger enemy offensive. While this is a positive tactical outcome, it does not address whether the underlying initiative remains with the separatist forces, who appear to have the resources to sustain such high-end, multinational attacks repeatedly.

The recommendations within the report are telling. They call for enhanced forward deployment of anti-tank and counter-drone assets, and a review of tactical approaches to reduce vulnerability to indirect fire. These are prudent suggestions, but they read as reactive measures to problems that have already extracted a heavy price.

In essence, the account from the North Zagoria front suggests our forces are fighting with tenacity and courage. They are achieving their immediate objectives. However, the consistent narrative of high casualties, decapitated command structures, and destructive opening blows from the enemy raises critical questions about the long-term sustainability of such a defensive posture. A war of attrition, even when tactically favorable, is a costly affair. The resilience of the soldier is undeniable, but one must ask if the current strategy fully accounts for the caliber and backing of the forces they are facing.

After Action Report, 15 September 2025

 

CLASSIFIED: FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Distribution List: See Addressee Block

FROM: Deputy Corps Commander, Chernarus 43rd Mountain Rifle Corps // Colonel N. Pisarev
Brigade Commander, 10th Separate Tank Brigade // Colonel I. Lifanov

TO: Deputy Head of Intelligence Staff, 43rd MR Corps // Colonel S. Glukharev
Deputy Commander, ChCOG // Vice Admiral B. Kravchuk
Commander Intelligence, ChCOG // Rear Admiral I. Kasatonov
ChCOG Senior Staff Intelligence Analyst // Major General V. Chernyakov

SUBJECT: AFTER ACTION REPORT (AAR) - Combat Operations of the 10th Separate Tank Brigade, North Zagoria Region, 04-14 September 2025

REF: A. Previous AAR, 29 August 2025, Col. N. Pisarev
DTG: 15 September 2025

1. PURPOSE. This report details a series of combat actions undertaken by elements of the Chernarus 10th Separate Tank Brigade in the North Zagoria region between 4-14 September 2025. It aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of enemy strength, disposition, and intentions, addressing deficiencies noted in the reference report.

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.
Over the reporting period, the Brigade successfully conducted multiple defensive and counter-attack operations against a determined and well-equipped separatist force. Enemy composition included Russian militias, Wagner Group operators, and international regulars (Spanish, North Korean, Serbian). Operations were characterized by intense, high-casualty engagements. Despite significant losses, Brigade task forces successfully denied the enemy their objectives, blunting a suspected larger offensive operation. Key intelligence, including enemy hit lists and informant networks, was recovered.

3. CHRONOLOGY OF OPERATIONS.

a. Operation OP2508-29-7: Panteleimonovka (4 Sep 25)

  • Situation: Separatist forces occupied Panteleimonovka in a probing action, later reinforcing it upon discovering minimal friendly presence.

  • Action: A friendly task force cleared the village, destroyed enemy supplies, and repelled weak, disorganized counterattacks. Command transferred to Sergeant Martinik after Lieutenant Mishchenko (KIA).

  • Result: Village secured. One enemy command operative eliminated; a hit list recovered and transferred to local authorities. Interrogations confirmed the operation was an opportunistic probe.

b. Operation OP2509-06-2: Ivanovka (5 Sep 25)

  • Situation: Intelligence indicated an imminent enemy mobile assault to seize Ivanovka.

  • Action: A task force intercepted the enemy, engaging heavy armor. Initial contact resulted in the loss of the Task Force Commander and most of Command Squad. Command devolved to 2nd Squad Commander.

  • Result: Enemy attack repelled with significant losses. Friendly forces held the objective until relieved.

    • Enemy Losses: 4x T-55, 3x BMP, 1x BTR, 3x BRDM, 3x Technicals, 1x MRAP.

    • Friendly Losses: 1x T-72.

c. Operation OP2509-06-3: Khromovo (7 Sep 25)

  • Situation: Enemy movement on Khromovo was assessed as a subsidiary action to a larger planned offensive.

  • Action: Task force advanced under heavy fire, suffering initial vehicle losses. Reinforcements stabilized the line against counterattacks by multinational forces (Wagner, Spanish, North Korean, Serbian).

  • Result: Line held. A downed Su-25 pilot was successfully located, treated, and evacuated by Command Squad.

    • Enemy Losses: 8x BMP, 2x T-55, 2x BRDM, 4x UAV, 1x Technical.

    • Friendly Losses: 2x BMP, 2x Scout Cars, 1x Su-25 (pilot rescued).

d. Operation OP2509-12-1: Chervonopopovka (12 Sep 25)

  • Situation: Enemy forces occupied Chervonopopovka, establishing a mortar position.

  • Action: Approach march was disrupted by accurate mortar fire, destroying two tanks. Dismounted infantry cleared the village against Wagner and Spanish defenders. Reinforcements at the northern edge suffered heavy losses but allowed for a successful withdrawal.

  • Result: Enemy position neutralized. Two command operatives eliminated; informant and kidnap victim lists recovered for local authorities. Intelligence assessed the enemy intended to use the village as a launch point for eastern operations.

    • Enemy Losses: 1x T-34, 1x Gunship, 3x BRDM, 1x Technical.

    • Friendly Losses: 2x T-72, 2x KIA (including Task Force Commander).

e. Operation OP2509-12-3: Mikhailovka (14 Sep 25)

  • Situation: Separatist forces began an assault on Mikhailovka.

  • Action: Task force established a defensive line but was subjected to intense attacks by special forces (Wagner, Russian Naval Infantry) supported by drones and armor. Two rifle squads were wiped out before reinforcements stabilized the situation, enabling a withdrawal under the command of 2nd Squad Commander.

  • Result: Enemy takeover prevented, albeit at near-catastrophic cost.

    • Enemy Losses: 4x BMP, 1x T-55, 1x BTR-80A, 2x BRDM, 3x Technicals, 1x MRAP.

    • Friendly Losses: 1x T-72, 1x BRDM, significant infantry casualties.

4. ANALYSIS.

  • Enemy Conduct: The enemy demonstrated capability for complex, multi-pronged operations using a mix of conventional and irregular tactics, including terror campaigns against civilians. Their reliance on international mercenaries and regulars indicates substantial external support.

  • Friendly Performance: Despite heavy casualties and frequent loss of command elements, Brigade units displayed high resilience and adaptability. Junior leadership effectively assumed command, and units consistently achieved their tactical objectives.

  • Intelligence Value: Recovered documents and electronic intercepts confirm systematic enemy intelligence operations and intent to conduct large-scale offensives. The operations detailed herein likely disrupted these plans.

5. RECOMMENDATIONS.

  • Enhance forward deployment of anti-tank and counter-drone assets to mitigate initial vehicle losses.

  • Review tactical approaches to villages to reduce vulnerability to pre-registered indirect fire.

  • Prioritize intelligence operations to further illuminate the network of external actors supporting separatist forces.

N. PISAREV
COLONEL, CHERNARUS ARMED FORCES

I. LIFANOV
COLONEL, CHERNARUS ARMED FORCES