TOP SECRET//NOFORN
43rd Mountain Rifle Corps Intelligence Staff
North Zagoria Region Operational Summary
12 October 2025
TO:
Major General Sergey Gladkov, Corps Commander
Colonel Nikolai Pisarev, Deputy Corps Commander
FROM:
Colonel Sergei Glukharev
Deputy Head of Intelligence Staff, 43rd Mountain Rifle Corps
REF: OP2510-10-1 After Action Analysis & Enemy Capability Assessment
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Separatist forces in North Zagoria have transitioned from guerrilla tactics to conventional warfare preparations, evidenced by recent armored reinforcements and established supply chains. Operation IVANOVKA successfully disrupted enemy forward positioning but revealed concerning strategic developments, including planned winter offensives with foreign reinforcement and mass irregular recruitment.
2. OPERATION IVANOVKA (OP2510-10-1) TACTICAL ASSESSMENT
2.1 Enemy Dispositions & Capabilities
Forces Identified: T-62 (1), T-55 (1) main battle tanks, plus logistical support elements
Tactical Posture: Defensive preparations indicated intent to establish forward supply base
Terrain Utilization: Village of Ivanovka employed as defensive strongpoint with limited western approach cover
2.2 Friendly Force Execution
Task Force Commander: Senior Lieutenant Belobadorov
Scheme of Maneuver:
Primary assault along western creek axis using urban cover
Eastern tank position established for overwatch and counter-armor operations
Modification to Plan: Squad roles reversed during advance with successful document capture
2.3 Combat Effectiveness
Armor Engagements: Friendly forces neutralized enemy T-72, T-62, T-55, and T-34 counterattacks with minimal losses
Intelligence Capture: One civilian criminal command operative eliminated, securing critical planning documents
3. CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE FINDINGS
3.1 Enemy Winter Campaign Planning
Captured documents outline sophisticated offensive operations scheduled winter 2025-2026:
Armor Reinforcements: Significant increases in medium/heavy tracked armor promised
Foreign Combat Elements: Iranian regulars identified as imminent reinforcement
Escalated Violence: Planned intensification of pogroms beyond summer 2025 levels
3.2 Force Generation & Recruitment
Irregular Mobilization: Plans to recruit ~150 local irregulars for light infantry attacks
Resource Stockpiling: Northern supply depots accumulating fuel, ammunition, cash, and non-combatant personnel (including women)
3.3 Enemy Logistics & Communications
Communications Security: Marked improvement in electronic security measures
Supply Chain Development: Established resupply networks evident in forward positions
4. SOURCE EVALUATION
4.1 Human Intelligence (HUMINT)
Local Agents: Remain primary intelligence source; reliability assessed HIGH
Enemy Territory Agents: Most valuable intelligence gained through extraordinary measures (kidnappings/interrogations); reliability assessed HIGH
Prisoner Interrogations: Corroborated document findings; reliability assessed MEDIUM-HIGH
4.2 Technical Intelligence (TECHINT)
Drone Surveillance: Effective for force disposition mapping; limited against improved enemy COMSEC
Document Exploitation: Critical for strategic forecasting; reliability assessed HIGH
5. ENEMY CAPABILITY PROJECTION
5.1 Immediate (0-30 Days)
Continued probing attacks with armored elements
Expansion of supply depots in northern sectors
Recruitment campaigns for irregular forces
5.2 Medium-Term (1-3 Months)
Winter offensive initiation with foreign reinforcement
Massed irregular attacks to overwhelm defensive positions
Increased armored company-level operations
5.3 Strategic Implications
Enemy transitioning to conventional force capability requiring corps-level combined arms response. Iranian regular integration suggests external state sponsorship escalation.
6. RECOMMENDATIONS
Preemptive Operations: Authorize immediate disruption campaigns against northern supply depots
Force Enhancement: Prioritize anti-armor capabilities and electronic warfare assets to battalion level
Counter-Intelligence: Increase monitoring of local population for irregular recruitment activities
Strategic Preparation: Prepare winter warfare contingency plans accounting for 150+ irregular combatants
External Action: Request Foreign Intelligence Directorate (SVR) analysis of Iranian regular deployment channels
APPENDICES
A: Document Translation Excerpts
B: Prisoner Interrogation Summaries
C: Ivanovka Terrain Analysis
DISTRIBUTION: Corps Command Staff, Operations Directorate, 1st/2nd Rifle Division Commanders
Colonel S. Glukharev
Deputy Head of Intelligence Staff
43rd Mountain Rifle Corps
Zelenogorsk, Chernarus
TOP SECRET//NOFORN
